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Contents

1 Introduction.............................................................................. 3 2 Institutional background ............................................................. 6 2.1 The medical rehabilitation guarantee .................................. 6 2.2 CBT and MDT................................................................... 7 3 Data and empirical strategy ........................................................ 9 3.1 Data............................................................................... 9 3.2 Estimation..................................................................... 11 4 Results ................................................................................... 15 4.1 Main results................................................................... 15 4.2 Validation of the results .................................................. 19 4.3 Public finance implications............................................... 21 4.4 Potential mechanisms ..................................................... 23 5 Conclusion .............................................................................. 25 References..................................................................................... 27 Appendix A: Diagnoses covered by the medical rehabilitation guarantee............................................................................... 29 Appendix B: The gradual expansion of the medical rehabilitation guarantee in the Skåne county council ....................................... 31 Appendix C: Matching models and descriptive statistics of the matched samples.................................................................................. 33 Appendix D: Result validation........................................................... 39 Appendix E: Results by sickness benefits types .................................. 40